Mideast Tension Heightens Geopolitical Risks
As the events of this week prove all too well, geopolitical risk is always lurking.
At a time of intensifying competition among global powers, governments are redeploying industrial policy. Nations are placing large bets that new spending plans will pay significant dividends by igniting economic growth and delivering strategic advantages in critical sectors. In the US and Europe, new incentives for semiconductor manufacturing have already yielded new business investments. Last month, the US said a New Hampshire factory that makes computer chips for military aircraft would be the first plant to receive funding through the CHIPS and Science Act. Industrial policy’s benefits to long-term growth are less certain. Government incentives also risk crowding out competition, stifling productivity, and paving the way for higher debt and interest rates.
While the full effect of industrial policy’s comeback is still to play out, investors must consider the implications for their portfolios. A new edition of PGIM’s OUTFront series explores the state of industrial policy around the world, lessons from the past, and the potential impact across the global economy and financial markets.
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