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In an increasingly uncertain environment, PGIM surveyed investors across the US, Europe, Asia-Pacific and Middle East to uncover how geopolitical risks are changing the way institutions are constructing their portfolios and approaching risk management. The results shed light on the risks that investors fear most, as well as the actions they are taking to either mitigate the potential fallout or capitalize on opportunities that emerge.

Despite the unpredictability of the current environment, nimble investors can assemble portfolios with the ability to be more resilient against unexpected market shocks and an outlook that can be instantly transformed by geopolitical consequences.

59% Investors who say geopolitical risks are negatively impacting portfolios.

REGIONAL ANALYSIS

UNITED STATES
Election outcomes could redefine policy paths, shaping the future of global markets and the economy.

Risks and Opportunities in an Election Cycle—And Beyond

The US presidential election’s potential ripple effect across the domestic economy and global markets will help shape the investment outlook in 2025 and beyond. Different outcomes in federal and state races present divergent policy paths for key issues such as taxes, regulations and trade.

View US Report
35% Investors who say reining in the national debt should be the next US administration's priority.
James Sonne
James Sonne
“After the election, there will be increased certainty over a lot of the trends in government as policy and personnel shakes out, and when you as an investor can predict, you can prepare. It’s when you are surprised that investment decisions may be difficult.”
James SonneVice President and Head of Government AffairsPGIM
View US Report

REGIONAL ANALYSIS

EUROPE
New regimes could redefine economic strategies, impacting growth and competitiveness amid political fragmentation.

Tackling Economic Challenges as Tough Choices Loom

With new governments taking shape across Europe after a flurry of elections, investors are focused on how the region will solve its economic challenges to drive growth and increase competitiveness in a fragmented political landscape.

View Europe Report
€750-800 Billion  The estimated annual investments needed to fund Mario Draghi's economic proposals.
Taggart Davis
“European policymakers realize it’s a now-or-never moment for growth and competitiveness. They don’t want Europe to simply become the world’s museum with historic buildings, beautiful cities and good food.”
Taggart DavisVice President, EMEA Government AffairsPGIM
View Europe Report

REGIONAL ANALYSIS

ASIA-PACIFIC
Geopolitical tensions, shifting trade flows, and a rising US dollar intensify risks for Asia-Pacific investors.

High Anxiety, But With Opportunities Emerging from a New Trade Landscape

While investors around the globe are confronted with a host of potential threats, geopolitical concerns are notably higher in the Asia-Pacific region than in other parts of the world. Meanwhile, a stronger US dollar is a risk that APAC investors list high on their list of concerns, given a higher dollar’s impact on emerging markets.

View APAC Report
43% Asia-Pac Investors who say a stronger US dollar is a high risk to their portfolios.
Magdalena Polan
“Countries closer to China in Southeast Asia can benefit from the shift of production from China to those neighboring countries. But the cost of that is potentially overheating or shortages of people or energy.”
Magdalena PolanHead of Emerging Market Macroeconomic ResearchPGIM Fixed Income
View APAC Report

REGIONAL ANALYSIS

MIDDLE EAST
Regional conflicts and oil supply uncertainties propel Middle Eastern investors to broaden global portfolios, seizing new opportunities.

DIVERSIFYING ACROSS GLOBAL OPPORTUNITIES

Regional conflicts, concerns about supply shocks in oil markets, and global efforts to reduce carbon emissions are driving institutional investors in the Middle East to geographically diversify their portfolios and increase allocations toward emerging opportunities in global public and private markets.

View ME Report
73% middle eastern investors who say geopolitical risks are having a negative impact on portfolios—the highest level among all four regions PGIM surveyed.
“If you think you’re moving into a multi-polar geopolitical environment, which sounds reasonable, you want your portfolio diversified.”
Investment strategistMiddle Eastern sovereign wealth fund
View ME Report

GLOBAL RISK REPORT

PART ONE
PGIM’s survey found that geopolitical risk and elections are top of mind for investors. Explore strategies to mitigate risk and capture opportunities.
Learn More

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