Skip to main content
PGIM LogoPGIM Logo
Stock-bond correlation
Article

Fed Attempts Soft Landing in a CrosswindFedAttemptsSoftLandinginaCrosswind

Jun 7, 2023

Share
  • Mail
  • LinkedIn
  • Twitter
  • Copy URL

Share

A blockbuster US jobs report presented financial markets with a new wrinkle in the outlook for the economy and interest rates. A combination of resilient jobs growth, elevated inflation and tighter borrowing conditions creates a challenging landscape for the Federal Reserve, which has already raised interest rates at a record pace to combat stubborn price pressures. The Fed must now attempt a soft landing in a crosswind. Forecasts suggest that policymakers will decide to hold rates steady when they meet next week. However, following an unexpected surge of 339,000 jobs in May, market participants have recalibrated their rate expectations for the remainder of the year. Bets have risen that the Fed will deliver another quarter-point hike next month. Interest rate futures also reveal that investors are no longer pricing in multiple rate cuts arriving later this year, driving short-term rates higher of late.

Against this backdrop, equity indexes have mounted a strong first half of 2023 by riding a wave of enthusiasm over artificial intelligence, which has boosted the value of technology companies. The tech rally—fueled largely by a handful of the sector’s biggest names—has overshadowed weaker showings in other corners of the market as well as deteriorating economic trends, including a rise in household debt, a contraction in manufacturing activity, and softer data on wage growth and labor productivity. PGIM Quantitative Solutions examines the macroeconomic environment and tech’s outperformance in a new blog post, highlighting the importance of diversification to protect against downside risk.

Read more
Learn More
Markets in Motion

Timely insights from across PGIM

Learn More

PGIM Logo
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Privacy Center
  • Accessibility Help
  • UK Regulatory Disclosures
  • Netherlands Regulatory Disclosures
  • Canadian Regulatory Disclosures
  • Ireland Gender Pay Gap Report
  • Cookie Preference Center

For Professional Investors only.* All investments involve risk, including the possible loss of capital.

This material is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or an offer or solicitation in respect of any products or services to any persons who are prohibited from receiving such information under the laws applicable to their place of citizenship, domicile or residence. PGIM is the principal asset management business of Prudential Financial, Inc. and a trading name of PGIM, Inc. and its global subsidiaries. PGIM, Inc. is a registered investment adviser with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”). Registration with the SEC does not imply a certain level of skill or training.

The information on this website is not intended as investment advice and is not a recommendation about managing or investing your retirement savings. In making the information available on this website, PGIM, Inc. and its affiliates are not acting as your fiduciary.    

In the United Kingdom, this website may be issued by PGIM Private Alternatives (UK) Limited or PGIM Private Capital Limited.  In the European Economic Area (“EEA”), this website may be issued by PGIM Private Capital (Ireland) Limited or PGIM Luxembourg S.A. or PGIM Real Estate Germany AG.

PGIM, Inc. has its headquarters at 655 Broad Street, Newark, NJ 07102. PGIM Private Capital (Ireland) Limited has its registered office at IDA Business Park, Letterkenny, Co. Donegal, F92 FP83, Ireland. PGIM Private Capital (Ireland) Limited is authorised and regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland and registered in Ireland under company number 635793 operating on the basis of a European passport. PGIM Limited and PGIM Private Alternatives (UK) Limited have their registered offices at Grand Buildings, 1-3 Strand, Trafalgar Square, London WC2N 5HR. PGIM Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) of the United Kingdom (Firm Reference Number: 193418). PGIM Private Alternatives (UK) Limited is authorised and regulated by the FCA of the United Kingdom (Firm Reference Number: 181389). PGIM Private Capital Limited has its registered address at 1 London Bridge, London SE1 9BG and is authorised and regulated by the FCA of the United Kingdom (Firm Reference Number: 172071). PGIM Luxembourg S.A., Netherlands Branch is registered with the Netherlands Chamber of Commerce under number 85998877 and has its local offices at Gustav Mahlerlaan 1212, 1088LA Amsterdam, The Netherlands. PGIM Luxembourg S.A. has its registered address at 2 Boulevard de la Foire, L-1528 Luxembourg and is authorised and regulated by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (“CSSF”) in Luxembourg (registration number A00001218). PGIM Real Estate Germany AG has its registered address at Wittelsbacher Platz 1, 80333 Munchen, Germany and is authorised and regulated by Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (“BaFin”) in Germany (registration number 10138142).

In Japan, information is provided by PGIM Japan Co., Ltd. (“PGIM Japan”) and/or PGIM Real Estate (Japan) Ltd. (“PGIMREJ”).  PGIM Japan, a registered Financial Instruments Business Operator with the Financial Services Agency of Japan offers various investment management services in Japan.  PGIMREJ is a Japanese real estate asset manager that is registered with the Kanto Local Finance Bureau of Japan.

In Hong Kong, information is provided by PGIM (Hong Kong) Limited, a regulated entity with the Securities & Futures Commission in Hong Kong to professional investors as defined in Section 1 of Part 1 of Schedule 1 of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Cap. 571). In Singapore, information is issued by PGIM (Singapore) Pte. Ltd. (“PGIM Singapore”), a regulated entity with the Monetary Authority of Singapore under a Capital Markets Services License to conduct fund management and an exempt financial adviser. This material is issued by PGIM Singapore for the general information of “institutional investors” pursuant to Section 304 of the Securities and Futures Act 2001 of Singapore (the “SFA”) and “accredited investors” and other relevant persons in accordance with the conditions specified in Section 305 of the SFA. In South Korea, information is issued by PGIM, Inc., which is licensed to provide discretionary investment management services directly to South Korean qualified institutional investors on a cross-border basis.   

Prudential Financial, Inc. (“PFI”) of the United States is not affiliated in any manner with Prudential plc, incorporated in the United Kingdom or with Prudential Assurance Company, a subsidiary of M&G plc, incorporated in the United Kingdom. 

*PGIM.com/Podcasts and its content is intended for informational or educational purposes only and is not directed exclusively to Professional Investors. 

You are viewing this page in preview mode.

Edit Page