Senior CLO Liquidity: A Class of its Own

Senior CLO Liquidity: A Class of its Own

 

Benefiting from structural and technical characteristics unique to securitized products, senior CLO tranches are among the more liquid instruments in the fixed income universe. The following discussion provides an overview of the dynamics that make senior CLOs such a valuable tool for asset allocators seeking to enhance portfolio liquidity across a range of market environments, including:

  • factors supporting senior CLOs’ consistent and resilient secondary market;
  • how senior CLOs are often counter cyclical during broader market dislocations;
  • structural protections supporting senior CLOs’ inherently low volatility and risk-remote nature;
  • liquidity tests used to safeguard senior CLO cash flows across market environments.

 

 

Consistent and Resilient Secondary Market—Especially When it Matters Most

Supported by dozens of global market-making dealers, senior CLO tranches (i.e. those rated AAA and AA) consistently see robust secondary market trading volumes across varying market conditions. As such, senior CLO bonds often serve as a critical source of liquidity, particularly during periods of market stress when senior CLO trading activity tends to increase (Exhibit 1), highlighting their liquidity.

 

Exhibit 1

Senior CLO trading volumes historically increase during periods of stress (Daily CLO TRACE Volume as of September 30, 2025)

Exhibit 1. Senior CLO trading volumes historically increase during periods of stress
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Source: JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley TRACE Data. Line order corresponds with order of the legend.
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Exhibit 1. Senior CLO trading volumes historically increase during periods of stress
Source: JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley TRACE Data. Line order corresponds with order of the legend.

During the 2020 pandemic-driven dislocation when most fixed income markets froze, U.S. AAA CLO tranches continued to actively trade, making them one of the few assets investors could readily sell with transparent market valuations. The same dynamic repeated during the regional banking crisis and again in early 2025 during the U.S. tariff-induced dislocation. European AA CLOs were similarly tested during the 2022 LDI crisis in the U.K., there too proving to be a reliable source of liquidity in a volatile market environment. In addition, over the past decade senior CLO tranches have exhibited lower price volatility—on both an absolute and relative basis—during dislocations (Exhibit 2).

 

Exhibit 2

Senior CLO spreads have remained stable across market dislocations and credit cycles

Exhibit 2. Senior CLO spreads have remained stable across market dislocations and credit cycles
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Sources: J.P. Morgan, Bloomberg.
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Exhibit 2. Senior CLO spreads have remained stable across market dislocations and credit cycles
Sources: J.P. Morgan, Bloomberg.

Looking at a more recent example, prior to April’s tariff-related broad market volatility, spreads on many CLO tranches were trading near historical tights as credit curves remained flat. When tariff concerns hit in April, spreads widened and credit curves steepened. AAA CLOs again proved most resilient, outperforming lower-rated tranches. Indeed, given the minimal credit risk in AAA CLOs, the spread widening in this segment was largely technical as investors seeking liquidity turned to the asset class.

 

Exhibit 3

As senior CLO trading volumes rise, spread volatility is historically unchanged

Exhibit 3. As senior CLO trading volumes rise, spread volatility is historically unchanged
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Source: PGIM, Bloomberg. As of May 2025. Look-back period for CLOs since 2012. Other sectors since 2002.
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Exhibit 3. As senior CLO trading volumes rise, spread volatility is historically unchanged
Source: PGIM, Bloomberg. As of May 2025. Look-back period for CLOs since 2012. Other sectors since 2002.

Having passed these market stress tests, senior CLOs continue to attract greater attention from asset managers seeking to supplement portions of their portfolios with liquid fixed income solutions that offer risk-adjusted yield premiums. Meanwhile, CLO ETFs—representing only about three percent of the total $1 trillion-plus CLO market—have experienced remarkable growth in recent years (Exhibit 4). While still in their early stages, CLO ETF are poised to further expand the senior CLO buyer base.

 

Exhibit 4

CLO ETFs expand the investor-base of senior CLOs

Exhibit 4. CLO ETFs expand the investor-base of senior CLOs
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Source: PGIM, Bloomberg. As of December 2025. Chart data order corresponds with order of the legend.
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Exhibit 4. CLO ETFs expand the investor-base of senior CLOs
Source: PGIM, Bloomberg. As of December 2025. Chart data order corresponds with order of the legend.

 

A Brief Primer on Fixed Income Market Liquidity Measures

TRACE: After the global financial crisis, U.S. regulators instituted the Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine (TRACE), a FINRA-maintained vehicle that reports over-the-counter trades in eligible U.S. fixed income securities, including CLO debt tranches. FINRA-registered market participants, including dealers, are required to provide data on actual trades in eligible U.S.-registered securities to FINRA for this purpose.

BWICs: BWIC (bids wanted in competition) activity reflects instances were a seller solicits bids from investors for a list of instruments, such as CLO debt tranches. Items on a BWIC list may or may not trade. If they do trade, and the CLO tranche is U.S.-registered and at least one of the counterparties is FINRA-regulated, the trade is reported on TRACE. As such, information on BWIC activity is indicative of overall secondary market volumes, but not reflective of actual trading activity. BWIC activity typically drops during volatile markets, as sellers wait for more opportune conditions or opt for the anonymity and lower trading costs of over-the-counter markets.

 

 

So How Much Trading Actually Occurs?

In the U.S. last year, more than $230 billion traded in the secondary market, which is more than 20% of the entire U.S. CLO market. In addition, gross issuance in the U.S. primary market exceeded $544 billion, resulting in over $3 billion a day trading across both primary and secondary markets.

TRACE data are not available in European markets, but BWIC activity in European CLOs provides an indicator of secondary market volumes. We estimate that roughly 25% of trading occurs on BWIC, therefore, we believe European secondary trading volumes were around €65 billion last year. This implies a turnover rate of roughly 25% for the broader European CLO market. This secondary market activity, paired with an additional €125 billion in the European CLO primary market, implies total daily trading volumes of approximately €750 million per day (see Exhibit 5 for a breakdown of monthly primary and secondary volumes).

Taken altogether, sizeable U.S. and European volumes highlight the depth of the global CLO market, demonstrating that CLOs are far from being static, buy-and-hold instruments with limited liquidity. To the contrary, this sustained turnover across market cycles highlights the meaningful liquidity available to CLO debt investors.

 

Exhibit 5

Global markets are a source of CLO liquidity

Exhibit 5A. Average U.S. Trade Activity ($Bn)
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Source: Morgan Stanley Matrix Bar order corresponds with order of the legend, and repeats.
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Exhibit 5A. Average U.S. Trade Activity ($Bn)
Source: Morgan Stanley Matrix Bar order corresponds with order of the legend, and repeats.
Exhibit 5B. Average European Trade Activity (€Bn)
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Source: Morgan Stanley Matrix Bar order corresponds with order of the legend, and repeats.
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Exhibit 5B. Average European Trade Activity (€Bn)
Source: Morgan Stanley Matrix Bar order corresponds with order of the legend, and repeats.

Structured for Liquidity Across All Market Environments

As one of the most liquid fixed income instruments, the historical ability of senior CLO bonds to remain tradable in nearly all market environments stems partly from their high capital structure seniority and strong structural protections. A key safeguard in CLOs is the overcollateral-ization (OC) test, which measures the ratio of underlying loan assets to outstanding debt to ensure sufficient support for the structure. Stress in the loan pool, such as defaults or downgrades, can push this ratio below required levels.

When that happens, cash that would normally flow to lower tranches is instead redirected, or “trapped,” to pay down the senior tranche. This self-healing mechanism, which returns cash to senior investors during periods of stress, enhances both liquidity and protection (please see Exhibit 6 for an example of an OC test).

Beyond the portfolio liquidity benefits, senior CLOs tranches can enhance risk-adjusted return expectations and help maintain or improve portfolio credit quality over the long term. For more than a decade, the credit ratings of CLOs—especially senior tranches—have remained steadfast through credit cycles, as well as several broader market dislocations and macro events.

Importantly, while this feature is a benefit for all debt holders, it has historically benefited AAA CLOs the most as they receive a return of principal payment at $100 (par) during market stress. As tranches become more subordinated, the benefit quickly dissipates, resulting in different liquidity profiles. Thus, while liquidity in senior tranches is quite robust, mezzanine tranches have a different liquidity profile.

Owing to their structural protections, consistent secondary market liquidity, and portfolio advantages, senior CLOs have remained a common allocation in PGIM’s fixed income portfolios over multiple market cycles. Our team has managed senior CLO tranches in client portfolios for nearly two decades. Today there is broad, firm-wide conviction to CLO investing with strategic allocations established for many of our bespoke and multi-sector strategies.

 

Exhibit 6

Broad market stress, credit events triggered OC test failures during the GFC

Exhibit 6. Broad market stress, credit events triggered OC test failures during the GFC
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Source: PGIM. Shown for illustrative purposes only.
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Exhibit 6. Broad market stress, credit events triggered OC test failures during the GFC
Source: PGIM. Shown for illustrative purposes only.

Edwin Wilches, CFA
Edwin Wilches, CFA
Co-Head of Securitized Products Public & Private Fixed Income
Connor Byrnes
Connor Byrnes
Senior Portfolio Manager, Securitized Products Public & Private Fixed Income
Loren Sageser
Loren Sageser
Securitized Products Portfolio Specialist Institutional Client Group

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