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Recessions are a feature of the economic & market landscape. Yet are revealed with a lag, which is why investors often rely on recession probability estimates.
A guide for CIOs to help them assess and interpret recession probability models, and explore several related issues that they should consider.
We explore the historical record of the Fed Model, measured as stock-bond real yield difference, to explain future stock-bond relative total returns.
Liquidity risk can be more severe than volatility risk. Funds may need a designated chief liquidity officer for integrated liquidity management.
What drives infrastructure returns? We dive into returns, valuation and inflation sensitivity of infrastructure investments and compare them to public assets.
In comparing CAPE model specifications (1/CAPE - 10y US Treasury real yield) has been the best way to incorporate CAPE in estimating future 10y stock returns.
PMA examines how greater scale both enables and pushes investors to allocate differently, with implications for governance as well as investment outcomes.
There is growing interest in collective defined contribution schemes as pension systems adapt to changing economics and demographics.
How responsible investing funds differ in their portfolio construction approaches, revealing divergent green transition approaches and performance outcomes.
US stock-bond correlation has shifted from negative to positive, a change that has also occurred across the developed market.
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