In a fast-changing world, typified by heightened economic and technological competition between great powers, underappreciated risks could upend the investment outlook. In PGIM’s fourth-annual Global Risk Report, we examine three risks that could alter the trajectory for interest rates, inflation, business investment, and the broader investment backdrop.
Key Themes
- AI infrastructure investment is surging, yet rapid innovation risks stranding assets and compressing returns. Investors must focus on resilient, inference-capable data centres close to end users.
- Skyrocketing energy demand from tech and manufacturing is driving persistent cost increases. Long-term opportunities favor regions with strong fuel supply and robust energy networks.
- China’s industrial overcapacity threatens to export deflation. Trade barriers may shift this impact across markets, intensifying global competition and creating opportunity for those who anticipate shifting trade flows.
References to specific securities and their issuers are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended and should not be interpreted as recommendations to purchase or sell such securities. The securities referenced may or may not be held in the portfolio at the time of publication and, if such securities are held, no representation is being made that such securities will continue to be held.
The views expressed herein are those of PGIM investment professionals at the time the comments were made, may not be reflective of their current opinions, and are subject to change without notice. Neither the information contained herein nor any opinion expressed shall be construed to constitute investment advice or an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any securities mentioned herein. Neither PFI, its affiliates, nor their licensed sales professionals render tax or legal advice. Clients should consult with their attorney, accountant, and/or tax professional for advice concerning their particular situation. Certain information in this commentary has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable as of the date presented; however, we cannot guarantee the accuracy of such information, assure its completeness, or warrant such information will not be changed. The information contained herein is current as of the date of issuance (or such earlier date as referenced herein) and is subject to change without notice. The manager has no obligation to update any or all such information; nor do we make any express or implied warranties or representations as to the completeness or accuracy.
Any projections or forecasts presented herein are subject to change without notice. Actual data will vary and may not be reflected here. Projections and forecasts are subject to high levels of uncertainty. Accordingly, any projections or forecasts should be viewed as merely representative of a broad range of possible outcomes. Projections or forecasts are estimated based on assumptions, subject to significant revision, and may change materially as economic and market conditions change.
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