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What to Expect When Expecting a Recession Lessons from Europe and the UKRecessions are a feature of the economic & market landscape. Yet are revealed with a lag, which is why investors often rely on recession probability estimates.Read More
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What to Expect When Expecting a Recession: A CIO's guide to interpreting the probability of recessionA guide for CIOs to help them assess and interpret recession probability models, and explore several related issues that they should consider.Read More
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Higher Bond Yields and the Fed Model: Implications for Stock-Bond ReturnsWe explore the historical record of the Fed Model, measured as stock-bond real yield difference, to explain future stock-bond relative total returns.Read More
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Trump Term Two Market Deja Vu
Financial markets are buzzing with anticipation as the US prepares for President-elect Donald Trump’s second term.
Ghosts of Growth
Winter, with its frosty breath and warm hearths, is the season I cherish most for rekindling old friendships.
Europe's Balancing Act: Opportunities Amid Structural Challenges
How are Europe's structural hurdles and strategic opportunities shaping markets?
2025 Outlook
Financial markets soared in 2024 with stocks hitting multiple record highs. As we enter 2025, will we see a continuation of this trend?
Policy Flux: How Uncertainty is Shaping Markets and Confidence
Markets can tolerate risk, but they struggle with uncertainty - and today's environment is brimming with it.
2025 Q1 Capital Market Assumptions
Inflation remains a dominant force shaping global markets as central banks aim to balance easing policies with persistent economic challenges.
TIPS: Tempering Inflation's Potential Surprises
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) often get a bad rap.
Approach to Strategic Asset Allocation Optimization
PGIM's proprietary asset allocation optimization framework.
China's Stimulus Surprise: A Turning Point?
In late September, China stocks rallied when authorities surprised markets with an announcement of significant stimulus measures.
2024 Q4 Outlook
As we approach the final stretch of 2024 and start the run-up to the US presidential election, global financial markets continue to evolve.
