Trade Anxiety Maintains Hold on Markets
As the possibility of tariff-induced economic disruption hangs over the global outlook, investors remain anxious to see results from ongoing US trade talks.
Markets whipsawed this week as investors digested a slate of fresh economic indicators that revealed a slowdown in US hiring and manufacturing activity over the summer. There were 7.7 million jobs available at the end of July, the Labor Department said on Wednesday. That was down from 7.9 million a month earlier, which was revised lower from a previous estimate of 8.2 million. Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector continued its struggles in August. Factory activity contracted for a fifth consecutive month amid weaker new orders and production, while inventories grew, according to the Institute for Supply Management.
The US economic outlook has been in focus with the Federal Reserve laying the groundwork for an interest-rate pivot in the coming weeks. Fed Chair Jay Powell has hinted that officials are prepared to cut rates at their meeting in mid-September, and interest-rate futures show that investors expect further easing before the end of the year. The last monthly jobs report before the September meeting will come on Friday. Economists forecast that employers added 161,000 jobs, an increase over 114,000 in July, to bring the unemployment rate down to 4.2% from 4.3%. In its third-quarter Capital Market Assumptions, PGIM Quantitative Solutions examines the impact of rate decisions and macro conditions on long-term forecasts.
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As the possibility of tariff-induced economic disruption hangs over the global outlook, investors remain anxious to see results from ongoing US trade talks.
Trump’s plans to reshape the trade landscape present broad implications for the global economy and financial markets.
Markets spent another week on trade watch, as investors parsed the latest clues on President Donald Trump’s plans to roll out a series of new tariffs.