Don’t Let Fear Keep You From Missing A Market Rebound

Apr 11, 2025

Market rebounds can be substantial post significant equity market sell-offs.

It is natural for investors to be concerned with investment portfolio performance during declining markets. But fears of further declines and market volatility often lead investors to make the wrong decision, at the wrong time, for the wrong reason. This can result in many investors pulling money out of the stock market after absorbing much of the decline. But then they risk missing the subsequent rebound after a bear market, which historically has been very robust.

On average, during the past nine bear markets, the market declined substantially as the economy contracted. But stock market returns were quite substantial in the subsequent year, followed by lesser returns in the two years after that. This dynamic showcases the importance of being in the market to experience those recovery returns when the market does rebound.

AVERAGE S&P 500 RETURN DURING MARKET DECLINES AND SUBSEQUENT RECOVERIES

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Source: Morningstar as of 4/7/2025. 1 Average return of peak-to-trough declines for past 9 bear markets from 1968 to 2022. 2 Average return for Year 2 and Year 3 based on recovery subsequent to previous 9 bear markets from 1968 to 2022. Year 3 data excludes returns for the previous bear market which ended 10/12/2022. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Source: Morningstar as of 4/7/2025. 1 Average return of peak-to-trough declines for past 9 bear markets from 1968 to 2022. 2 Average return for Year 2 and Year 3 based on recovery subsequent to previous 9 bear markets from 1968 to 2022. Year 3 data excludes returns for the previous bear market which ended 10/12/2022. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

*S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 common stocks of large U.S. companies, weighted by market capitalization. An investment cannot be made directly in an index and an index does not have fees. All indexes are unmanaged.

All investments involve risk including the possible loss of capital. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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