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Portfolio Construction

What to Expect When Expecting a Recession Lessons from Europe and the UK

May 30, 2025

Recessions are a feature of the economic & market landscape. Yet are revealed with a lag, which is why investors often rely on recession probability estimates.

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Higher Bond Yields and the Fed Model: Implications for Stock-Bond Returns

May 30, 2025

We explore the historical record of the Fed Model, measured as stock-bond real yield difference, to explain future stock-bond relative total returns.

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Is There a Need for a Chief Liquidity Officer?

May 30, 2025

Liquidity risk can be more severe than volatility risk. Funds may need a designated chief liquidity officer for integrated liquidity management.

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These materials are for informational or educational purposes only. All investments involve risks, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

The information contained herein is provided by PGIM, the principal asset management business of Prudential Financial, Inc. (PFI), and a trading name of PGIM, Inc. and its global subsidiaries and affiliates.

In the United Kingdom, information is issued by PGIM Limited with registered office: Grand Buildings, 1-3 Strand, Trafalgar Square, London, WC2N 5HR. PGIM Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) of the United Kingdom (Firm Reference Number 193418). In the European Economic Area (“EEA”), information may be issued by PGIM Investments (Ireland) Limited, PGIM Netherlands B.V. or PGIM Limited depending on the jurisdiction. PGIM Investments (Ireland) Limited, with registered office: 2nd Floor, 5 Earlsfort Terrace, Dublin 2, Ireland. PGIM Investments (Ireland) Limited is authorised and regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland (Reference No. C470709) and operates on the basis of a European passport. PGIM Netherlands B.V., with registered office at Eduard van Beinumstraat 6, 1077CZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, is authorised by the Autoriteit Financiële Markten (“AFM”) in the Netherlands (Registration number 15003620) and operates on the basis of a European passport. In certain EEA countries, information is, where permitted, presented by PGIM Limited in reliance on provisions, exemptions or licenses available to PGIM Limited including those available under temporary permission arrangements following the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union. This information is issued by PGIM Limited, PGIM Investments (Ireland) Limited and/or PGIM Netherlands B.V. to persons in the UK who are professional clients as defined under the rules of the FCA and/or to persons in the EEA who are professional clients as defined in the relevant local implementation of Directive 2014/65/EU (MiFID II).

This information is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation where prohibited. PGIM is not acting as your fiduciary. This information represents the views, opinions and recommendations of the author. Certain information has been obtained from sources that PGIM believes to be reliable as of the date presented. PGIM does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of information. Information, including projections and forecasts, may be changed without notice, although PGIM has no obligation to do so. PGIM and its affiliates may develop and publish research that is independent of, and different than, the recommendations contained herein.  This material is not offering any recommendation to purchase, hold or sell any referenced security.

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In the United Kingdom, information is issued by PGIM Limited with registered office: Grand Buildings, 1-3 Strand, Trafalgar Square, London, WC2N 5HR. PGIM Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) of the United Kingdom (Firm Reference Number 193418).

In the European Economic Area (“EEA”), information is issued by PGIM Netherlands B.V. with registered office: Eduard van Beinumstraat 6 1077CZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands. PGIM Netherlands B.V. is authorised by the Autoriteit Financiële Markten (“AFM”) in the Netherlands (Registration number 15003620) and operating on the basis of a European passport. In certain EEA countries, information is, where permitted, presented by PGIM Limited in reliance of provisions, exemptions or licenses available to PGIM Limited under temporary permission arrangements following the exit of the United Kingdom from the European Union. These materials are issued by PGIM Limited and/or PGIM Netherlands B.V. to persons who are professional clients as defined under the rules of the FCA and/or to persons who are professional clients as defined in the relevant local implementation of Directive 2014/65/EU (MiFID II).

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