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Deceleration, Divergence & DiversificationAs we navigate the third quarter of 2025, investors are faced with a number of challenges: tariff policies reshaping global markets, central bank divergence, and a shift in stock-bond correlation regimes. Against this backdrop, recession probability remains elevated at more than 60%, US fiscal debt is on the rise approaching 130%, and geopolitical tensions continue to fuel market volatility. Despite these challenges, there are potential opportunities that investors may be able to capture. Our Third Quarter 2025 outlook explores five key themes impacting markets and seeks to identify these compelling, actionable opportunities through our assessment of major asset classes.Read More
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Central Bank PolicyFed Holds Steady Despite Economic UncertaintyPGIM Fixed Income's Chief U.S. Economist, Tom Porcelli, reacts to the Fed's June 18, 2025 policy meeting.Read More
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All the CreditMacro Shocks and Market ShiftsIn this episode of All the Credit®, we explore the catalysts of recent market turbulence and outline the challenges posed to fixed income investors.Read More
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Deceleration, Divergence & Diversification
As we navigate the third quarter of 2025, investors are faced with a number of challenges: tariff policies reshaping global markets, central bank divergence, and a shift in stock-bond correlation regimes. Against this backdrop, recession probability remains elevated at more than 60%, US fiscal debt is on the rise approaching 130%, and geopolitical tensions continue to fuel market volatility. Despite these challenges, there are potential opportunities that investors may be able to capture. Our Third Quarter 2025 outlook explores five key themes impacting markets and seeks to identify these compelling, actionable opportunities through our assessment of major asset classes.
Rethinking Diversification: Learnings from a Total Portfolio Approach
With the economic and investment landscape evolving rapidly, some institutional asset owners are championing a new model for ensuring that asset allocations continue to remain aligned with their investment objectives.
Market Dynamics and Multi-Asset: Playing Defence and Offence
Noah Weisberger discusses market dynamics fueled by fiscal stimulus and monetary policy, and how investors might want to allocate risk across their portfolios.
Fed Wary of Inflation, Labor Risks
The Fed left rates unchanged as it awaits answers on trade policy and a clearer view of the economic outlook.
US Economy Downshifts Amid Fog Trade War
The US economy registered a modest contraction in the first quarter, as tariff uncertainty and mounting trepidation across corporate America test the resilience of the world’s largest economy.
Trade Anxiety Maintains Hold on Markets
As the possibility of tariff-induced economic disruption hangs over the global outlook, investors remain anxious to see results from ongoing US trade talks.
Tariff Timeout Sends Stocks Roaring Back
President Donald Trump’s decision to suspend most of his reciprocal tariffs allayed market fears of looming economic turbulence.
Markets Remain on Trade Watch as New Tariffs Loom
Markets spent another week on trade watch, as investors parsed the latest clues on President Donald Trump's plans to roll out a series of new tariffs.
European Stocks Outpace Wall Street in Market U-Turn
Long overshadowed by Wall Street, European stocks are drawing renewed interest from investors searching for better bargains.
DeepSeek Triggers AI Selloff
AI chatbot DeepSeek sent a shockwave through equity markets, while the Fed hit pause after cutting rates at its previous three meetings.
