Global supply chains are being reconfigured as geopolitical tensions, industrial policy and economic security considerations reshape trade and investment flows. This is not deglobalisation. Production is becoming more regional, more diversified, and increasingly concentrated around strategic industries.
For emerging markets, the implications extend well beyond manufacturing. The countries best positioned to benefit are those building industrial capacity, strengthening supplier ecosystems, and moving up the value chain. For investors, these shifts are creating greater differentiation across countries, sectors, and asset classes, reinforcing the importance of active allocation.
Supply chains are evolving towards regional production systems shaped by resilience, security and strategic alignment.
The key distinction is not where production relocates, but which economies can translate these shifts into lasting gains through investment in infrastructure, skills and supplier networks.
The strongest opportunities may emerge in economies that increase domestic value-added, deepen industrial capabilities and strengthen long-term competitiveness.
Emerging markets occupy critical positions across the physical infrastructure supporting AI adoption, including:
Taiwan and Korea remain central to advanced semiconductor production, while a broader set of emerging markets are benefiting from rising investment in energy, electrification and digital infrastructure.
Fragmentation is increasing dispersion across economies and sectors. Distinguishing long-term beneficiaries from short-term trade intermediaries will require a more selective investment approach.
Opportunities may be found where industrial capacity, policy credibility and strategic positioning combine to support sustainable growth and capital formation. As these trends develop, active country, sector and issuer selection will become increasingly important in capturing the opportunities created by a more fragmented global economy.
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