Emerging Markets Series | Part 2

The Rewiring of Global Supply Chains

Supply chains are diversifying, creating a new phase of emerging-market opportunity

  • Supply chains are diversifying, not deglobalising
  • EM advantages now extend well beyond labour and commodities
  • Durable winners will build capacity, skills and domestic value
  • Greater dispersion may strengthen the case for active allocation

Global supply chains are being reconfigured as geopolitical tensions, industrial policy and economic security considerations reshape trade and investment flows. This is not deglobalisation. Production is becoming more regional, more diversified, and increasingly concentrated around strategic industries.

For emerging markets, the implications extend well beyond manufacturing. The countries best positioned to benefit are those building industrial capacity, strengthening supplier ecosystems, and moving up the value chain. For investors, these shifts are creating greater differentiation across countries, sectors, and asset classes, reinforcing the importance of active allocation.

A more regional global economy

Supply chains are evolving towards regional production systems shaped by resilience, security and strategic alignment.

Three distinct ecosystems are emerging:

  • North America, centred on deeper integration with Mexico
  • Europe, expanding capacity across Central and Eastern Europe, the Western Balkans and North Africa
  • Asia, where a China-plus-many model is driving investment across ASEAN and India
Source: PGIM, As of October 2026

The key distinction is not where production relocates, but which economies can translate these shifts into lasting gains through investment in infrastructure, skills and supplier networks.

The strongest opportunities may emerge in economies that increase domestic value-added, deepen industrial capabilities and strengthen long-term competitiveness.


The infrastructure behind AI

Emerging markets occupy critical positions across the physical infrastructure supporting AI adoption, including:

  • Advanced semiconductors and memory
  • Power equipment and grid infrastructure
  • Industrial automation
  • Critical minerals and materials

Taiwan and Korea remain central to advanced semiconductor production, while a broader set of emerging markets are benefiting from rising investment in energy, electrification and digital infrastructure.

 

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Reconfiguration, not decoupling

China remains central to global supply chains, but dependencies are being redistributed.

The emerging model is one of selective de-risking, with governments and companies seeking alternatives in strategic sectors while maintaining economic ties across broader trade networks.

At the same time, industrial policy, energy security and rising defence expenditure are creating new production and investment priorities across emerging markets.

Source: PGIM, As of October 2026

 

Fragmentation is increasing dispersion across economies and sectors. Distinguishing long-term beneficiaries from short-term trade intermediaries will require a more selective investment approach.

 

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Investment Implications


Opportunities may be found where industrial capacity, policy credibility and strategic positioning combine to support sustainable growth and capital formation. As these trends develop, active country, sector and issuer selection will become increasingly important in capturing the opportunities created by a more fragmented global economy.

Read the Full Paper

The Rewiring of Global Supply Chains explores how trade fragmentation, AI infrastructure, industrial policy and shifting geopolitical priorities are reshaping emerging-market investment opportunities.

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